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You are here: Home / All Posts / The Financial Quarterly Q2 2021

The Financial Quarterly Q2 2021

Investment Advisor · Jul 15, 2021 ·

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The Financial Quarterly

The Financial Quarterly

2nd Quarter 2021

Goran Ognjenovic
https://independentadvisorsnw.com
Independent Investment Advisors
(971) 350-8068

The second quarter of 2021 had a little bit of everything: vaccines, inflation concerns, jobs recovery, and more. Let's take a look at how markets performed and what we might look forward to in the months to come.

Looking Back

How Did Markets Perform Last Quarter?

S&P 500

Despite considerable volatility, the broader U.S. market grew strongly in Q2.1

NASDAQ

The tech-focused NASDAQ soared on the back of a sustained tech rally after pulling back in mid-quarter.1

DOW 30

Blue chip stocks delivered solid growth despite ongoing inflation and interest rate fears.1

Looking Ahead

What Can We Expect Three to Nine Months Ahead?

U.S. Economic Outlook

Negative Positive

The U.S. economy looks to be on a clear path for growth as the recovery continues.2

Equity Outlook

Negative Positive

Market fundamentals could support continued growth though volatility is very likely.3

Consumer Sentiment

Negative Positive

Consumer sentiment is very strong as Americans look forward to a post-pandemic world with ample cash in their pockets.4,5

Labor Market

Negative Positive

The labor market shows strength, though some sectors and regions may struggle to match workers with roles.6

Business Outlook Survey

Negative Positive

The business outlook looks solid as demand picks up, though inflation and supply chain issues may be obstacles.5

Fiscal Policy

Negative Positive

Government policies could support further growth, though waning stimulus spending and debt concerns may cause bumps.5

"Despite fears of runaway inflation and pandemic-related challenges, markets delivered a strong performance in Q2. While obstacles to growth remain, we expect the economic recovery to continue this quarter."

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Bottom Line

Key Takeaways for Savvy Investors

Despite a lot of uncertainty around business reopenings, vaccination rates, and economic growth, equities delivered a solid performance in the second quarter, closing out the strongest first half since 2019.7

While the quarter closed strong, a number of dips, rallies, and ongoing volatility made it a bumpy road. We can expect more of this as the world continues to recover from the pandemic.

With all the uncertainty, it would not be surprising to see a market correction or pullback in the months ahead.

Overall, the economy seems positioned for strong growth in the second half of the year, though inflation worries, politics, and post-pandemic concerns may weigh.

Bottom line, I'm keeping a close eye on market conditions, as continued uncertainty could drive sudden changes.

Questions? Please reach out. I'd be happy to chat.

Goran Ognjenovic
Independent Investment Advisors
(971) 350-8068
info@independentadvisorsnw.com

Sources:

1 https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/29/us-stock-futures-are-little-changed-as-the-market-closes-out-a-winning-first-half.html

2 https://www.conference-board.org/research/us-forecast

3 https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/29/stocks-should-add-to-gains-in-the-second-half-but-there-are-two-big-concerns.html

4 https://www.usnews.com/news/economy/articles/2021-06-29/consumer-confidence-rises-sharply-in-june-to-highest-level-since-pandemic

5 https://www2.deloitte.com/us/en/insights/economy/us-economic-forecast/united-states-outlook-analysis.html

6 https://www.latimes.com/business/story/2021-07-02/june-jobs-report-economy-coronavirus

7 https://www.marketwatch.com/story/u-s-stocks-set-to-edge-back-from-records-ahead-of-private-sector-jobs-report-11625051833

S&P 500: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history?p=%5EGSPC (Closing price performance between March 31, 2021 and June 30, 2021)

NASDAQ: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EIXIC?p=%5EIXIC (Closing price performance between March 31, 2021 and June 30, 2021)

Dow Jones Industrial Average: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EDJI (Closing price performance between March 31, 2021 and June 30, 2021)

U.S. Economic Outlook, Equity Outlook, Consumer Sentiment, Labor Market, Business Outlook, and Fiscal Policy gauges: https://www.cnr.com/insights/speedometers.html (July 2021)

The S&P 500 is a stock index considered to be representative of the U.S. stock market in general. The NASDAQ Composite Index is an unmanaged composite index of over 2,500 common equities listed on the NASDAQ stock exchange. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is a price-weighted index that tracks 30 large, publicly traded American companies.

All index returns exclude reinvested dividends and interest. Indices are unmanaged and cannot be invested into directly.

Risk Disclosure: Investing involves risk including the potential loss of principal. No investment strategy can guarantee a profit or protect against loss in periods of declining values. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

This material is for information purposes only and is not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any security. This content may contain projections, forecasts, and other forward-looking statements that do not reflect actual results and are based on hypotheses, assumptions, and historical financial information. The content is developed from sources believed to be providing accurate information; no warranty, expressed or implied, is made regarding accuracy, adequacy, completeness, legality, reliability or usefulness of any information. Consult your financial professional before making any investment decision. For illustrative use only.

The following posts and commentary are to be used solely as educational tools and do not contain investment advice. Investment advice must be tailored to a particular investor’s specific needs. None of the information contained should be construed to be investment advice. Individuals wishing to tailor a plan to their own needs should seek the help of a Registered Investment Advisor.

There is a high degree of risk in investing and trading. Independent Investment Advisors assumes no responsibility. Principles of Independent Investment Advisors may, at times, maintain directly or indirectly, positions in securities or derivatives mentioned in these comments.

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Goran Ognjenovic
Independent Investment Advisors

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