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You are here: Home / All Posts / The Financial Quarterly Q1 2021

The Financial Quarterly Q1 2021

Investment Advisor · Apr 26, 2021 ·

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The Financial Quarterly

The Financial Quarterly

1st Quarter 2021

Goran Ognjenovic
https://independentadvisorsnw.com
Independent Investment Advisors
(971) 350-8068

The first quarter of 2021 had a little bit of everything: politics, bubbles, meme stocks, rallies, and sudden drops. Let's take a look at how markets performed and what we might look forward to in the months to come.

Looking Back

How Did Markets Perform Last Quarter?

S&P 500

The broader U.S. market grew in Q1 on stimulus, optimism, and the economic recovery.1

NASDAQ

The tech-focused NASDAQ rallied on a new technology boom, but pulled back at quarter's end on interest rate fears.2

DOW 30

Blue chip stocks soared in Q1 on expectations of economic growth and stimulus.3

Looking Ahead

What Can We Expect in the Months Ahead?

U.S. Economic Outlook

Negative Positive

Equity Outlook

Negative Positive

Consumer Sentiment

Negative Positive

Labor Market

Negative Positive

Business Outlook

Negative Positive

Fiscal Policy

Negative Positive
"Despite continued challenges, markets had a strong performance in Q1. While uncertainty remains, we expect continued economic growth this quarter."

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Bottom Line

Key Takeaways for Savvy Investors

Despite a lot of uncertainty around business reopenings, vaccination rates, and economic growth, equities delivered a solid performance last quarter. Looking back, while it's easy to focus on the quarter's overall performance, let's not forget that there were many dips and rallies along the way.

Bottom line, we can expect more volatility and uncertainty this year. After nearing record highs, it would not be surprising to see a market drop in the second quarter.

What lies ahead? A popular survey of economists suggests that the economy could grow ~7% this quarter as the economy continues to pick up steam.4 However, there are many variables and uncertainties baked into those projections: vaccination timelines, consumer spending, new government regulations, and business expectations.

Overall, I'm cautiously optimistic about where the economy and markets will go this quarter. However, I'm also keeping a close eye on market conditions, as continued uncertainty could drive sudden changes.

Questions? Please reach out. I'd be happy to chat.

Goran Ognjenovic
Independent Investment Advisors
(971) 350-8068
info@independentadvisorsnw.com

Sources:

1 https://www.marketwatch.com/story/stock-futures-mixed-as-investors-await-biden-infrastructure-plan-11617190690
2 https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-stocks/tech-lifts-sp-500-nasdaq-indexes-post-gains-for-quarter-idINKBN2BN1MD
3 https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-dow-just-beat-the-nasdaq-by-the-widest-margin-in-a-month-since-2002-heres-how-stocks-tend-to-perform-afterward-11617228732
4 https://www.wsj.com/graphics/econsurvey (March 2021) Archive link

S&P 500: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history?p=%5EGSPC (Closing price performance between December 31, 2020 and March 31, 2021)

NASDAQ: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EIXIC?p=%5EIXIC (Closing price performance between December 31, 2020 and March 31, 2021)

Dow Jones Industrial Average: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EDJI (Closing price performance between December 31, 2020 and March 31, 2021)

U.S. Economic Outlook, Equity Outlook, Consumer Sentiment, Labor Market, Business Outlook, and Fiscal Policy gauges: https://www.cnr.com/insights/speedometers.html (April 2021)

The following posts and commentary are to be used solely as educational tools and do not contain investment advice. Investment advice must be tailored to a particular investor’s specific needs. None of the information contained should be construed to be investment advice. Individuals wishing to tailor a plan to their own needs should seek the help of a Registered Investment Advisor.

There is a high degree of risk in investing and trading. Independent Investment Advisors assumes no responsibility. Principles of Independent Investment Advisors may, at times, maintain directly or indirectly, positions in securities or derivatives mentioned in these comments.

The S&P 500 is a stock index considered to be representative of the U.S. stock market in general. The NASDAQ Composite Index is an unmanaged composite index of over 2,500 common equities listed on the NASDAQ stock exchange. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is a price-weighted index that tracks 30 large, publicly traded American companies.

All index returns exclude reinvested dividends and interest. Indices are unmanaged and cannot be invested into directly.

Risk Disclosure: Investing involves risk including the potential loss of principal. No investment strategy can guarantee a profit or protect against loss in periods of declining values. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

This material is for information purposes only and is not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any security. The content is developed from sources believed to be providing accurate information; no warranty, expressed or implied, is made regarding accuracy, adequacy, completeness, legality, reliability or usefulness of any information. Consult your financial professional before making any investment decision. For illustrative use only.

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Goran Ognjenovic
Independent Investment Advisors

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