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The Financial Quarterly
1st Quarter 2021
Goran Ognjenovic
https://independentadvisorsnw.com
Independent Investment Advisors
(971) 350-8068
The first quarter of 2021 had a little bit of everything: politics, bubbles, meme stocks, rallies, and sudden drops. Let's take a look at how markets performed and what we might look forward to in the months to come.
Looking Back
How Did Markets Perform Last Quarter?
S&P 500
The broader U.S. market grew in Q1 on stimulus, optimism, and the economic recovery.1
NASDAQ
The tech-focused NASDAQ rallied on a new technology boom, but pulled back at quarter's end on interest rate fears.2
DOW 30
Blue chip stocks soared in Q1 on expectations of economic growth and stimulus.3
Looking Ahead
What Can We Expect in the Months Ahead?
U.S. Economic Outlook
Equity Outlook
Consumer Sentiment
Labor Market
Business Outlook
Fiscal Policy
"Despite continued challenges, markets had a strong performance in Q1. While uncertainty remains, we expect continued economic growth this quarter."
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Bottom Line
Key Takeaways for Savvy Investors
Despite a lot of uncertainty around business reopenings, vaccination rates, and economic growth, equities delivered a solid performance last quarter. Looking back, while it's easy to focus on the quarter's overall performance, let's not forget that there were many dips and rallies along the way.
Bottom line, we can expect more volatility and uncertainty this year. After nearing record highs, it would not be surprising to see a market drop in the second quarter.
What lies ahead? A popular survey of economists suggests that the economy could grow ~7% this quarter as the economy continues to pick up steam.4 However, there are many variables and uncertainties baked into those projections: vaccination timelines, consumer spending, new government regulations, and business expectations.
Overall, I'm cautiously optimistic about where the economy and markets will go this quarter. However, I'm also keeping a close eye on market conditions, as continued uncertainty could drive sudden changes.
Questions? Please reach out. I'd be happy to chat.
Goran Ognjenovic
Independent Investment Advisors
(971) 350-8068
info@independentadvisorsnw.com